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AI Predicting Death: Can Insurers Cancel Policies?

Artificial intelligence is now able to predict medical outcomes with startling accuracy. Researchers have built algorithms that can forecast the likelihood of death within months or years based on health records, lab tests, and even wearable device data. While these tools may help doctors, they also raise troubling questions for life insurance. If an AI predicts early death, could insurers use that information to raise premiums or cancel policies before families ever file a claim? If you need legal guidance for denied life insurance claims in Texas call us.

How AI Predicts Death

AI mortality prediction models analyze massive amounts of data.

  • In 2019, Stanford researchers built an AI system that could predict mortality risk within a year for hospital patients with nearly 90 percent accuracy.

  • Wearables like smartwatches already track heart rate, sleep, and oxygen levels, which could feed into predictive algorithms.

  • Insurance companies are investing in AI tools to assess risk in real time, rather than relying solely on medical exams and paper applications.

While these models are billed as medical breakthroughs, insurers see them as opportunities to minimize payouts.

How Predictive AI Could Lead to Denials

Life insurance companies may use AI predictions in ways that harm policyholders:

Application challenges:

If AI indicates a high risk of early death, insurers may argue that the applicant misrepresented their health.

Policy cancellations:

Insurers could attempt to cancel or non-renew policies if AI predicts imminent death, citing material change in risk.

Premium hikes:

Predictive models may give insurers cover to charge higher premiums after coverage begins.

Claim disputes:

If AI forecasts align with cause of death, insurers may claim the insured failed to disclose medical risks that the AI “saw” in advance.

The Contestability Window and AI Forecasts

During the first two years of coverage, insurers can rescind policies for misrepresentation. Predictive AI could make this worse. If an algorithm claims that records pointed to an early death, insurers may argue the applicant failed to disclose:

  • Hidden health conditions

  • Risky behaviors detected by data

  • Participation in medical trials flagged by AI

Even if the insured never knew of these risks, insurers may use AI hindsight to justify denial.

Real-World Concerns Emerging Now

Imagine a woman buys life insurance while wearing a fitness tracker. The data shows irregular heart rhythms, which AI interprets as high mortality risk. She later dies of a sudden cardiac event. The insurer denies the claim, arguing she “should have disclosed” her risk, even though no doctor ever diagnosed her condition.

In another case, an insurer purchases predictive AI data about applicants from third-party vendors. A man dies in an accident, but the insurer points to an AI forecast of “imminent mortality” to argue misrepresentation.

These scenarios may sound dystopian, but they align with trends already underway in digital health and insurance analytics.

Can Attorneys Help in Predictive AI Disputes?

Yes. A skilled life insurance attorney can:

  • Challenge the use of predictive models that go beyond medical evidence

  • Argue that applicants cannot disclose conditions they were never diagnosed with

  • Demand transparency about how AI forecasts are generated

  • Pursue bad faith claims if insurers rely on secret algorithms to deny payment

Families should not accept an AI prediction as a substitute for real medical records.

FAQ: AI Predictions and Life Insurance

Can insurers use AI to deny claims?


They may try, especially if AI models suggest a death was foreseeable, but these denials can be challenged.

Is predictive AI accurate?


It can be, but it is also prone to errors and bias, particularly when based on incomplete health records.

Do applicants have to disclose risks flagged only by AI?


No. Applicants can only disclose what they know or have been diagnosed with.

Are insurers already using predictive AI?


Some have begun integrating AI into underwriting, and regulators are monitoring the practice.

What should families do if an insurer cites AI predictions?


Hire a life insurance attorney immediately to challenge vague or secret evidence.

If insurers ever let AI decide who lives long enough for a payout, families may find themselves battling not just a company but a crystal ball made of code. Personally, I would not want my life insurance cancelled because an algorithm decided I looked tired on a Monday morning.

Contact us today for a free consultation.

All content on this page and site written by Christian Lassen, Esq.

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